NEW YORK, NEW YORK – DECEMBER 21: A view of the Christmas Tree at Rockefeller Center as snow falls on December 21, 2024 in New York City. (Photo by Craig T Fruchtman/Getty Images)

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Anna Skinner

By Anna Skinner

Associate News Editor

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A new white Christmas forecast was released by AccuWeather on Wednesday, revealing the states most likely to see snow over the holiday as above-average temperatures move into the U.S.

To be considered a white Christmas, at least an inch of snow must be on the ground, including any new snow that falls on Christmas Day, AccuWeather reported. The forecast comes weeks after the Old Farmer's Almanac released its white Christmas predictions, and as the holiday nears, it seems that fewer states will see snow than originally expected.

In early December, the Old Farmer's Almanac predicted that a chance of snow would extend across much of the Plains and into Texas, as well as across the Midwest, Northeast, and parts of the mid-Atlantic.

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Now, the National Weather Service (NWS) Climate Prediction Center expects a high chance of above-average temperatures for much of the U.S. over Christmas, with the highest possibilities expected in the Plains states, the South, and into the Midwest. Most of these states also are expecting below-average precipitation during the same time frame.

AccuWeather's revised forecast anticipates a high chance at a White Christmas for the following states: California, Washington, Oregon, Idaho, Montana, Wyoming, Colorado, Utah, North Dakota, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, West Virginia, Pennsylvania, New York, Vermont, New Hampshire, and Maine.

A map from AccuWeather shows which states have the highest chance of a white Christmas.

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"Dreaming of a white Christmas? It's a guarantee in the Rockies and near the Great Lakes, but hopes for snow in the central and eastern U.S. will hinge on a storm moving through just before the holidays," AccuWeather posted on X on Thursday.

AccuWeather lead long-range expert Paul Pastelok told Newsweek that although forecasters anticipated the surge of warmth across much of the U.S., the extent of the rising temperatures is "impressive."

"It will be near 70 in St. Louis on Christmas," he said. "There's no snow going to be left anywhere near the St. Louis area."

He also said snow in Springfield will be gone by the time the holiday gets here.

Some snow could even fall on Christmas Day, particularly across the Pacific Northwest and Intermountain West.

"All eyes will be on a storm between December 23-25," Pastelok said in the report. "The track could determine a late surge for some snow."

The forecast went into further detail, claiming that the states with the lowest odds of a white Christmas include those along the Northeastern coast and in the southern and central U.S. Although snow did fall across the Northeast and mid-Atlantic between December 13 and 14, Pastelok said it was quite possible it could melt before Christmas because of rising temperatures.

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