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By Aliss Higham
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As the recovery from Hurricane Milton continues, maps show another storm brewing in the mid-Atlantic that could be making its way toward Florida.
The National Weather Service (NWS) is continuing to monitor a weather event in the Atlantic, which it has named AL94, for possible tropical development. If it develops as such, it will be named Tropical Storm Nadine.
A spaghetti model created by Tropical Tidbits shows AL94 is most likely to track northwest from its current position, passing north of Antigua and Barbuda and toward the Dominican Republic and the southern eastern tip of Cuba, where models show the storm tracking in a southwesterly direction toward Jamaica.
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Spaghetti models is a nickname given to the weather models that show potential tropical cyclone paths. When shown together, the individual model tracks can somewhat resemble strands of spaghetti. If the lines are clustered together, it means there is a higher the level of confidence in the storm's projected path.
Maps do not currently show the potential storm tracking directly for Florida, parts of which are still recovering from Hurricanes Milton and Helene which both hit the state within the past month.
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The NWS reported that AL94 could continue to develop into a tropical storm throughout this week as it moves toward islands in the Caribbean.
"A broad area of low pressure located over the central tropical Atlantic is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system is forecast to move generally westward to west-northwestward, and environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for gradual development during the latter part of this week," the NWS said in its latest update at 2 a.m. ET on October 16.
"A tropical depression could form as the system moves near the Leeward and Virgin Islands late this week."
The NWS added that AL94 has a low 30 percent chance of developing into a tropical storm in the next 48 hours. However, that chance grows to 50 percent over the next seven days.
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AccuWeather's lead hurricane forecaster Alex DaSilva said: "It is possible for the feature to ramp up quickly to a tropical depression or tropical storm as its core approaches or passes near the Leewards late this week.
"But, as this system travels further to the west, whatever it becomes, could run into more hostile conditions for strengthening and organization."
He added: "It is typically very difficult for a tropical system to continue toward the northwest and into Texas this late in the season due to prevailing westerly breezes in that area."
Meanwhile, the Weather Channel meteorologist Robb Ellis said the storm is "moving into an area that climatologically isn't the most favorable for tropical development," but that it "certainly isn't uncommon for a tropical system to develop as it is moving closer to the Antilles."
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The NWS also reported that another system in the western Caribbean Sea could experience some gradual development over the next few days if it stays over water while moving towards Central America.
The chance of formation in this region is around 10 percent over the next 48 hours, rising to 20 percent over the next seven days.
According to Accuweather, Hurricanes Beryl, Debby and Helene were all "influenced by the abnormally warm water in this region so far this season," while similar circumstances in the southern Gulf of Mexico aided the formation of Hurricanes Francine and Milton.
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