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Joe Edwards

By Joe Edwards

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An Atlantic disturbance has the potential to spawn Tropical Storm Gabrielle in the coming week, according to meteorologists.

Why It Matters

If the disturbance were to strengthen into a named storm, it would become the seventh named system of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season.

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The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration previously forecast an above-normal Atlantic season, with the agency predicting a range of 13 to 19 named storms. Of these, between six and 10 are expected to become hurricanes, including three to five major ones.

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What To Know

In an update on Monday morning, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) said a tropical wave over the far eastern Atlantic was producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

"Environmental conditions appear conducive for slow development of this system, and a tropical depression could form late this week or next weekend."

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The NHC said the system was expected to move west to west-northwest at about 15 miles per hour across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic through the week. The agency reported a 40 percent or "medium" chance of cyclone formation through seven days.

"AccuWeather hurricane experts continue to forecast a medium risk for tropical development off the west coast of Africa during the middle to latter portions of this week. The dates we are concerned about are September 4-6 for development," AccuWeather's Alex DaSilva told Newsweek.

"Due to large amounts of dry air, any development would likely be gradual, however it is possible that this area could strengthen into a hurricane this weekend or early next week. If this occurs, it would be the second hurricane of the season for the Atlantic," he continued.

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Meanwhile, in the eastern Pacific, the NHC is tracking Tropical Storm Kiko, which formed on Sunday with no immediate threat to land, according to the Associated Press.

Maximum sustained winds were reported near 45 mph, and the agency said Kiko was expected to become a hurricane in the coming days.

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What People Are Saying

AccuWeather lead hurricane expert Alex DaSilva told Newsweek: "While there will be a relative lull in tropical activity during the first few days of September, atmospheric conditions will become a lot more conducive for development later this week. As a result, we expect a greater uptick in activity starting around the end of the first week in September."

Meteorologist Dylan Federico wrote on X on Sunday: "Gabrielle is likely to form in the eastern Atlantic later this week. Conditions look favorable and I wouldn't be surprised if this becomes the next hurricane. The faster it develops the more likely it turns out to sea. Either way we have plenty of time to watch, as it's over 10 days away from the United States, if it ever even gets here. This is your friendly reminder that it's the peak of the hurricane season, and now is a good time to check your supplies and plan."

The National Hurricane Center wrote on X on Sunday: "NHC is monitoring a tropical wave over the far eastern Atlantic that has a medium chance of developing into a tropical depression during the next week."

Meteorologist Zack Fradella wrote on X on Sunday: "I'm seeing signs this week that we'll get our next named storm out in the Atlantic. Gabrielle is the next name on the list. We do like to see them forming way out there because that increases the chances of a turn just like the past few."

What Happens Next

The NHC issues regular updates on its website and social media channels.

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