Lincoln/ Waverly EF3 4/26/24

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Anna Skinner

By Anna Skinner

Associate News Editor

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A spring storm system will trek across the Midwest on Thursday, with meteorologists warning those within its path that they could see isolated tornadoes.

The incoming storm system comes as the region has already seen an active year for tornadoes, with 190 having already been reported so far in March, according to the National Weather Service (NWS) Storm Prediction Center. Most of these damaging storms occurred in the Southern Plains, Midwest, and U.S. South.

Abnormally warm temperatures earlier this month helped fuel the storm systems. Above-average temperatures will once again sweep across the region on Thursday, with several temperature records likely to be broken, which could fuel the incoming thunderstorms, NWS meteorologist Matt Barnes told Newsweek.

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"We could perhaps even set record high temperatures for the entire month of March," Barnes, who works at the NWS office in Lincoln, Illinois, said. "This very warm and humid air mass is definitely going to be fueling those storms as we get later in the day on Thursday."

Stock image of a tornado tearing through a rural area.

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NWS meteorologists across the region issued hazardous weather outlooks on Wednesday, warning of the incoming threat that could bring scattered thunderstorms across the area as early as Wednesday night, before a more severe system rolls through on Thursday. AccuWeather also provided a forecast about the incoming storms, sharing a map that revealed three states at a moderate risk of severe thunderstorms that could produce isolated tornadoes.

The states most at risk for the tornado threat are Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio, according to the AccuWeather map, although a much more widespread area faces "some" risk, including parts of Missouri, Iowa, Kentucky, and Michigan.

A map from AccuWeather shows the states facing the highest threat for severe thunderstorms on Thursday, which could include some tornadoes.

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In some cases, the storms could produce large hailstones, the NWS office in Lincoln said in the hazardous weather outlook.

"Hail larger than golf balls will be possible with the strongest storms, and a few tornadoes are also possible. As the evening progresses, the severe weather threat will trend toward damaging winds," the outlook said.

In Indiana, the strongest storm threat would be on Thursday and Thursday night.

"Large hail and damaging wind gusts are the primary threats, but an isolated tornado threat cannot be ruled out," NWS Indianapolis said.

Meanwhile, the NWS office in Wilmington, Ohio, said the storm threat could take shape as soon as Wednesday.

"Thunderstorms will occur along and behind a cold front that will cross in the evening and overnight hours," the office said in the hazardous weather outlook. "Damaging wind and very heavy rainfall is the primary threat. Large hail and an isolated tornado could occur early in the development of these storms."

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