...
By Jordan King
Reporter
0
Share
Newsweek is a Trust Project member
See more of our trusted coverage when you search.Prefer Newsweek on Googleto see more of our trusted coverage when you search.
Democratic Senator Tammy Baldwin has fallen behind Republican rival Eric Hovde for the first time in a new poll.
It's just three weeks until the election on November 5, when voters will decide on the next president of the United States and the composition of the Senate. Baldwin and Hovde are vying for a seat in Wisconsin, one of the three crucial swing states, along with Michigan and Pennsylvania, that Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are working tirelessly to secure.
Hovde, who is running on a campaign to "restore the American dream," has a one-point lead in a head-to-head ballot with Baldwin, according to the National Republican Senatorial Committee's internal polling memo issued at the weekend.
Read More on News
The Republican candidate came out with 48 percent, while Baldwin, who has served as one of Wisconsin's state senators since 2013, had 47 percent support, Politico reported on Tuesday, when it published the leaked memo.
...
"This is the first time we have seen Hovde with the lead in our internal polling," NRSC executive director Jason Thielman wrote.
In a ballot that included third-party candidates, Hovde and Baldwin were tied at 46 percent.
"Hovde has a clear opportunity to continue his growth and consolidate support while driving Baldwin's negatives up and her position on the ballot down," Thielman added.
Newsweek contacted the NRSC for comment and information on its polling methodology, including its sample size and margin of error, via an online contact form.
Hovde's spokesperson, Zach Bannon, told Newsweek "Eric Hovde continues to gain momentum and is going to win. The people of Wisconsin are ready for change because Tammy Baldwin is too radical, extreme and wrong."
Newsweek has contacted Baldwin's team via email for a response to this comment and the new polling.
Several previous polls have put Baldwin in the lead, including one carried out by InsiderAdvantage Surveys between October 8 and 9, which shows Baldwin with 48 percent and Hovde with 47 percent.
Some 800 likely voters were questioned for this poll, which has a margin of error of +/- 3.46 percentage points.
Meanwhile, Emerson College Polling found Baldwin had 50 percent support over Hovde's 46 percent, after finding Baldwin's backing had increased by 1 percent since September, while Hovde had held his 46 percent level.
This survey took place Oct. 5-8, when 1,000 likely voters were questioned. The poll has a margin of error of +/-3 percentage points.
Baldwin has said the race for Wisconsin's Senate seat is "very close," with "growing Democratic fears over how quickly the Wisconsin Senate race is tightening."
"I've seen my internal polls, Baldwin told the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.
Update 10/16/24, 11:45 a.m. ET: This article was updated to include comment from Hovde's spokesperson.
View 0 Comments
Submit Correction
View Editorial & AI Guidelines