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By Joe Edwards
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The Old Farmer's Almanac has announced its predictions for fall weather this year, forecasting a warmer-than-normal fall for 2025.
Why It Matters
Published since 1792, the Almanac is the oldest continuously published periodical in the U.S.
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The publication explains that its forecasts are developed using insights from three scientific disciplines: solar science, climatology, and meteorology. Solar science involves analyzing sunspots and other solar activity, while climatology focuses on weather patterns, and meteorology studies atmospheric conditions.
What To Know
In its 2025 fall weather forecast released on July 11, 2025, the publication identified several regions—including the Atlantic Corridor, Southeast, Florida, Deep South, Heartland, Texas-Oklahoma, High Plains, Intermountain, Pacific Northwest, Pacific Southwest, and Alaska—that are forecast to experience above-average temperatures this fall.
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Conversely, cooler-than-usual conditions were expected in the Northeast, Appalachians, Lower Lakes, Ohio Valley, Upper Midwest, Desert Southwest, and Hawaii.
Nationwide, precipitation is expected to range below seasonal averages from California to Florida and up to Maine, with the exceptions of the High Plains and Pacific Northwest.
The Almanac also noted that "cool temperatures and below-average rainfalls could translate to some pretty foliage in the Northeastern region."
Hurricane season, which ends in November, is expected to see above-normal activity, with a "high count" of named systems, according to the Almanac.
Some specific regional predictions include:
- The Northeast: Cooler and drier; September average 59 F, October 46 F. Rainfall below normal at 3.5 inches in September and 2.5 inches in October.
- Atlantic Corridor: Cooler in the north, warmer in the south; below-average rainfall overall. September average 70.5 F, October average 55 F.
- Appalachians: Cooler and drier overall; September average 65 F, October 53 F. Three inches of rain in September, 2.5 inches in October.
- Southeast and Florida: Warmer and drier than normal; Southeast September average 78 F, Florida 82 F.
- Pacific Northwest: Warmer and wetter; September average 63 F, October 57 F with above average rainfall in October but slightly below normal in September.
- Ohio Valley: Cooler and drier; September averages around 68 F, October around 56 F, both with less rain than normal.
What People Are Saying
Sarah Perreault, managing editor of The Old Farmer's Almanac told Newsweek: "The Old Farmer's Almanac is the original guide to living well and has always been known for its wit, wisdom, and solid advice that's relevant to real life. We celebrate core values and entertain the whole family with a healthy degree of humor and a sense of optimism. Every fall The Old Farmer's Almanac pops up at local stores, and although it is brand new each year, it isn't changing."
The Old Farmer's Almanac's 2025 fall prediction read: "Your trek to the pumpkin patch may be a bit steamy this year. The Old Farmer's Almanac is predicting a warmer-than-normal autumn this year! In fact, it should be quite warm for the western half of the United States!"
What Happens Next
New editions of The Old Farmer's Almanac are released annually.
Update, 7/24/2025, 12:08 p.m. ET: This article was updated with comment from Sarah Perreault.
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