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By Kaitlin Lewis, Dan Gooding, and Alia Shoaib
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Donald Trump is leading Kamala Harris in Nevada in the race to secure the state's six Electoral College votes.
Trump is ahead with 51 percent of the vote compared to Harris' 47.2 percent, with 90 percent of the votes counted, according to the Associated Press.
In the past two presidential elections, the state voted for the Democratic Party candidate, with President Joe Biden winning by a narrow margin of around 2.4 percent in 2020, and Hilary Clinton by around two percent in 2016.
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Ahead of the 2024 vote, polling consistently showed Trump and Harris neck-and-neck, securing around 47 percent of the vote each in the week leading up to Election Day.
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Which Presidential Candidate Did Nevada Voters Pick in 2016 and 2020?
In 2016, Nevada voted for former Secretary of State Hilary Clinton. The Democrat won with 47.9 percent of the vote, compared to Trump's 45.5 percent. This was thanks to just two out of 17 counties, Washoe and Clark, which are home to nearly 90 percent of the state's population.
The state remained blue in 2020, with Biden securing 50.1 percent of the vote, against Trump's 47.7 percent, again down to those two counties, which include Reno and Las Vegas respectively.
In September 2020, 741,963 people were registered as Democrat voters, while 626,143 aligned themselves with the Republican Party. Nonpartisan voters made up just over 473,000.
At the same point this year, nonpartisan voter share had risen to over 825,000, while Republican support rose to 673,828. The Democratic Party had lost dedicated voters, down to 718,625.
What Were the Polling Averages in Nevada?
Ahead of Election Day 2024, polling consistently showed a tight race between the Vice President and former president.
In early October, Harris was enjoying a near 10 percent lead at times over Trump, per FiveThirtyEight, but this gap narrowed heading into the final few weeks of the campaign.
Economy, Education Among Biggest Issues in Nevada
The economy and affordable housing were two big issues that came up for Nevada voters, with housing costs rising 50 percent since 2019 in Reno and wider Washoe County. Almost 20 percent of renters are classified as extremely low-income.
Another key policy issue was education, with calls for improved funding for public schools and enhancing vocational training.
Down-ballot measures included exempting diapers from sales tax, removing slavery as a form of punishment in the state's constitution, and enshrining the right to abortion.
Over half of Nevada's eligible voters cast their ballots early. Of the over 540,000 votes cast, 45.5 percent were Republicans and 27.7 percent were Democrats. As it is with all mail-in ballots, it is unclear how these people voted. And, early voting is not always indicative of the final vote tally.
Trump Made More Stops in Nevada
Trump held at least four rallies in Nevada across the campaign, including three in Las Vegas and one in Reno. Harris only visited twice: Reno on October 31 and Las Vegas on August 10.
The Harris-Walz campaign also bought out advertising on the Las Vegas Sphere in the final weeks.
Update 11/07/24, 6:10 a.m. ET: This article has been updated with the latest results in Nevada.
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