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By Jasmine Laws
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Oregon is expected to see the largest decline in Medicaid enrolment should House Republican budget proposals be approved following today's vote, according to the health policy research website the Kaiser Family Foundation (KFF).
Newsweek has contacted House Speaker Mike Johnson and the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services out of hours via email for comment.
Why It Matters
Ahead of the scheduled vote, critics of the budget have warned that should the budget get approved, it would result in the "gutting" of Medicaid.
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The program is used by some 80 million Americans, with a number of particularly Republican-leaning states having some of the highest proportions of residents relying on Medicaid.
What To Know
There is reportedly an air of uncertainty in the GOP today ahead of the scheduled budget vote, as some House Republicans have allegedly voiced their concerns over potential Medicaid cuts that could come as part of the budget's proposals.
With only a narrow majority so far of 218-215, as reported by NBC News, the tension among those in Congress is high.
Should the budget be approved, many critics such as Connecticut Senator Chris Murphy have warned that it would result in the "gutting" of Medicaid, adding that the budget includes a planned $2 trillion cut in funding for Medicare and Medicaid.
Critics have also said that the proposed cut to those healthcare programs is being done alongside a $2 trillion decrease in tax cuts, which they argue will help the "super rich."
One thing House Republicans could do to cut back funding for Medicaid is reduce the breadth of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) so that less people are covered by the program, according to the KFF.
Per the KFF, another thing the GOP could do to cut Medicaid funding is to eliminate the 90 percent federal match rate that came as part of the ACA expansion.
For some states the federal government has been paying 90 percent of the costs for expansion enrollees. Should this match rate be dropped, it would result in many people in those states being pushed off the program.
Oregon, Virginia, Nevada and Louisiana are among the states predicted by the KFF to experience the biggest drop in Medicaid enrolment should the cuts happen, as the map above shows.
Oregon is estimated to see 639,000 people pushed off the program, which equates to a 49 percent decline in enrolment in the state.
Virginia is expected to see a decline in enrolment by 45 percent, while Nevada could see a drop by 42 percent, and Louisiana of 41 percent.
Meanwhile, Minnesota, South Dakota, and North Carolina, each with predicted declines in enrolment by 19 percent, are the states expected to be the least affected by the potential changes to Medicaid.
What People Are Saying
Connecticut Senator Chris Murphy wrote in a post on X: "This week the House is voting on Trump's billionaire and corporate tax cut, and they've decided to pay for it by gutting Medicaid - the program that insures 24% of all Americans."
@politvidchannel, the account of Politics Video Channel which has more than 225,000 followers, wrote in a post on X: "Trump and Republicans are planning to pay for its $2 trillion tax cuts for the wealthy by cutting $2 trillion in services for seniors on Medicare and kids on Medicaid."
@CalltoActivism, an account funded by Attorney Joe Gallina that has more than 1.1 million followers, wrote in a post on X: "Holy s**t. This is scary. Senator Chris Murphy just revealed on the Senate floor that Republicans now have the votes to cut $2 trillion in services for seniors on Medicare and kids on Medicaid. Tomorrow is the House's vote. $2 TRILLION IN CUTS.
"Guess how much they plan on giving the super rich as a tax cut? $2 TRILLION. People are going to die including kids.
"Tomorrow's House vote on the Republican budget proposal will determine the fate of Medicaid for up to 72 MILLION people! Don't let them take away our healthcare for a tax cut for their greedy donors!"
What's Next
There have been reports that today's vote could be pushed to later in the week as House Republicans and House Speaker Mike Johnson reportedly hope to ensure the high-stakes vote gets approved. Per NBC, Johnson reportedly said on Monday: "We're going to get everybody there."
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