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By Tyler Everett
Sports Betting Editor
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The Lions have been one of the Super Bowl 59 betting favorites since before the 2024 season kicked off.
Their odds are considerably shorter now than they were prior to Week 11, though.
At the moment, it's hard to say whether the Lions moved from around 5-to-1 or 6-to-1 odds to win Super Bowl 59 (depending on the sportsbook) to shorter than 4-to-1 because of
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A) how dominant they looked against Jacksonville last Sunday ...
or B) how beatable the Chiefs and Ravens both looked as they lost in Week 11 to fall to 9-1 and 7-4, respectively.
Actually, the answer has to be C) both.
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However they reached this conclusion, it's clear that oddsmakers see a pecking order among the contenders to win Super Bowl 59:
- Tier 1: Dan Campbell's Detroit Lions
- Tier 2: everyone else (starting with the Chiefs, Bills, Eagles and Ravens).
Latest Super Bowl 59 Futures Odds (Week 12)
With seven weeks left in the regular season, below is a look at the top contenders to win Super Bowl 59 and their odds at four top sportsbooks as of November 19, 2024.
Detroit Lions Super Bowl 59 Futures Odds
Best available odds as of Nov. 19: +350 (FD, bet365, Caesars)
The Lions entered this season with sky-high upside. Through 10 games, they've somehow managed to justify -- if not exceed -- the considerable preseason hype around them.
Detroit was expected to be able to run the ball and rely on Jared Goff's connection with TE Sam LaPorta and WR Amon-Ra St. Brown in the passing game.
Behind an outstanding offensive line, both Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery have been unstoppable, and Goff is lighting up opposing secondaries (almost) every week, as Jameson Williams has emerged as a solid complement to ARSB and LaPorta. It's all added up to the highest-scoring team in the league at 33.6 points per game.
Defensively, the overhauled secondary has been good enough for Detroit to rank top-five in the league in points allowed. The front seven has also been stout, both before and since a long-term injury that has sidelined star DE Aidan Hutchinson since October 13.
But since struggling against the Vikings in a 31-29 win in Week 7 (Detroit's first game without Hutchinson), the Lions D has played well the last four weeks, giving up a total of just 57 points to the Titans, Packers, Texans and Jaguars.
The Lions would likely be underdogs on a neutral field against Patrick Mahomes if they were to reach the Super Bowl, but right now, Mahomes' heroics seem like the only thing that could take down the Lions, on a good day, at least.
Campbell's team has challenging matchups remaining, including back-to-back home matchups against the Packers and Bills in Weeks 14 and 15, plus a Week 17 trip to San Francisco, but entering Week 12, oddsmakers see the NFC as the Lions' to lose.
At DraftKings, for example, Detroit is +150 to win the conference, well ahead of the Eagles (+320) and the rest of the NFC. In fact, the next-shortest NFC outrights (per DK) belong to the Vikings and Packers at +950 apiece.
For perspective, keep in mind that in the AFC, four teams are currently +850 or shorter to win the conference at DraftKings, including three -- the Chiefs, Bills and Ravens -- at +450 at shorter.
Best Super Bowl 59 Longshot Bets
While it's hard to argue with the Lions as the favorites to win it all, seven weeks of the regular season remain before the playoffs even get underway.
So, who are some tempting teams worth taking a flier on?
Below are a couple intriguing longshots that offer some value at their current price. And no, we're not including the Chiefs -- winners of both Super Bowl 57 and Super Bowl 58 -- in the longshot conversation, no matter how tempting their odds get.
The odds on the Bills, Eagles and Ravens also offer some serious bang for your buck, but we're focusing on darkhorse candidates with even longer odds here.
L.A. Chargers Super Bowl 59 Futures Odds
Best available odds as of Nov. 19: +2500 (DK, FD, bet365)
The Chargers are the best recent example of how impactful a strong combo at QB/coach can be.
This roster features rookies and journeymen in a number of key positions. But with Justin Herbert playing at a high level and Jim Harbaugh having quickly turned this into one of the most physical teams in the league, the Chargers look like a squad no one in the AFC will want to run into in January.
Entering Week 12, L.A. is 7-3, with a Week 6 win over the Broncos representing its only W over a team that is currently above .500.
But the Chargers sure looked like a playoff team* in last Sunday's win over Joe Burrow's Bengals, and if they can knock off the Ravens at home on Monday Night Football this weekend, their odds will be a lot shorter this time next week.
*No, a legit playoff team probably wouldn't have squandered a 20-point lead, but we're choosing to focus on the end result of that game.
Green Bay Packers Super Bowl 59 Futures Odds
Best available odds as of Nov. 19: +2500 (Caesars)
Every week, it gets more difficult to see the NFC being decided by anything other than an NFC Championship Game between the Lions and Eagles.
The Eagles have largely been dominant on both sides of the ball throughout a current six-game winning streak, making them a hard team to bet against.
But if you're looking for upside, why not consider the Packers?
Jordan Love and Co. showed they can beat anyone down the stretch a year ago, especially in the playoffs. After knocking off Dallas and nearly upsetting San Francisco on the road last January, Green Bay came into this season as a trendy Super Bowl 59 pick.
The defense is much improved from a year ago under first-year Packers DC Jeff Hafley, and when Love takes care of the football, this offense is nearly impossible to stop.
With injuries, among other issues, plaguing the 49ers, Green Bay -- which happens to host the Niners this weekend -- strikes us as the next-biggest threat to the Lions and Eagles in this conference.
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