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By Giulia Carbonaro
Senior Reporter
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Kari Lake looks set to win the Republican nomination for the U.S. Senate in Arizona on Tuesday, but the latest polling shows that her net favorability rating among GOP voters has more than halved since May.
According to the latest poll by Noble Predictive Insight (NPI) on the Grand Canyon State's GOP Senate primary, conducted between July 22 and 23, Lake had a net favorability of +12, with an estimated 50 percent of the vote, including unsure voters. Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb, by comparison, had 38 percent of the vote, while neuroscientist Elizabeth Reye had only 3 percent.
The poll, released on Monday, surveyed 438 likely Republican primary voters in Arizona and had a margin of error of ±4.65 percent. Newsweek contacted Lake's Senate campaign for comment by email on Tuesday morning.
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While there's no doubt about Lake's lead over Lamb, which she has maintained throughout her campaign, the advantage of the former television news anchor turned Republican firebrand has dropped since earlier this year.
In February, she could count on the support of 54 percent of Republican voters polled by NPI and her net favorability was +48. In May, Lake's net favorability was +32, lower than Lamb's +36, though she had the support of 46 percent of voters polled by NPI.
"Lake looks promising in overcoming the first challenge in the Senate race—winning the primary—but she'll have to shape her general election strategy to capture the key voter blocs she's currently struggling with to compete with the Democratic candidate," Mike Noble, NPI founder and CEO, said in a written statement.
According to the latest NPI poll, Lake is still struggling with younger voters (42 percent of which support her, against 53 percent who back Lamb); party-first GOP voters (38 percent to 49 percent); voters in rural counties (44 percent to 49 percent); and independents (32 percent to 37 percent).
She does well, on the other hand, among Donald Trump supporters. Ninety percent of likely GOP voters view the former president favorably; among these, Lake leads with a 57 percent majority over Lamb's 36 percent.
Trump has recently called on his supporters in Arizona to vote for Lake, saying she would implement his plans for a second term should he be elected in November. "She's fantastic. She will not let us down," he said during a 15-minute telephone call on Monday for Lake's campaign, as reported by AZCentral.
"Kari Lake, I just think she's going to be as good as you can get. There's nobody going to be better," he said, endorsing her.
"She's fearless when it comes to being a champion for the common-sense, America-first policies. Kari will vote to seal the border. We're going to seal that border. It will stop them immediately, and that will stop, in turn, the invasion, the largest invasion in the history of probably any country. There's never been anything like it."
While voting in the Arizona's primary election ends Tuesday, two-thirds of GOP primary voters have already cast their ballots through early voting, according to the NPI poll. Among early voters, Lake leads with 45 percent over Lamb's 39 percent.
Should she win the primary, as she appears set to, Lake will face Democratic contender Ruben Gallego in the race to replace Sen. Kyrsten Sinema, who was elected as a Democrat and is now retiring as an Independent.
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