Harris Gets Good Sign in Swing States

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Kaitlin Lewis

By Kaitlin Lewis

Night Reporter

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In just over a week since launching her presidential campaign, Vice President Kamala Harris has closed the gap to former President Donald Trump across seven key swing states, according to one recent poll.

Voters in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin were surveyed for a Bloomberg News and Morning Consultant poll between July 24 and 28 on who they would vote for between Harris and Trump if the 2024 election were held today. Across all seven states, which included responses from 4,972 voters, Harris held a 1-point lead, beating Trump 48 percent to 47 percent.

The results are within the poll's margin of error of plus or minus 1 percent point, meaning that a hypothetical matchup between Harris and Trump is still a tossup in the critical battleground states. But Tuesday's results are an improvement for Democrats. In a Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll conducted at the beginning of July, then-Democratic presumptive nominee President Joe Biden trailed Trump by 2 percentage points on average across the seven states.

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Harris Gets Good Sign in Swing States

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Harris was also found on Tuesday to be beating Trump in Arizona (49 percent to 47 percent), Michigan (53 percent to 42 percent), Nevada (47 percent to 45 percent), and Wisconsin (49 percent to 47 percent). Trump was still up by 4 percentage points in Pennsylvania (50 percent to 46 percent), and the candidates were tied in Georgia at 47 percent.

Newsweek reached out to Trump's campaign via email on Tuesday for comment.

The vice president has enjoyed immense momentum behind her presidential bid since Biden stepped aside last weekend, and several polls have shown her closing the margin to Trump, who was leading in national polling in the weeks leading up to Biden suspending his reelection campaign.

In a Morning Consult poll conducted from July 26 to July 28, Harris was also found to be more popular among registered voters than Biden or Trump throughout the 2024 election. Out of the 11,538 voters surveyed, 50 percent said they have a favorable view of the vice president, compared to 46 percent who said they have an unfavorable view. The pollster said in a report that Harris' "4-point net favorability is a higher rating than Biden or Trump have posted all cycle."

Trump's campaign previously cautioned about a "Harris Honeymoon" in the weeks following the vice president's entry into the race. In a memo circulated to reporters, Tony Fabrizio, GOP pollster and senior adviser on Trump's campaign, said that the momentum for Democrats would be temporary, adding that the "fundamentals of the race stay the same."

"The Democrats deposing one Nominee for another does NOT change voters discontent over the economy, inflation, crime, the open border, housing costs not to mention concern over two foreign wars," Fabrizio wrote. "Before long, Harris' 'honeymoon' will end and voters will refocus on her role as Biden's partner and co-pilot."

Update 07/30/24, 11 p.m. ET: This article has been updated with additional information and background.

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