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By Billie Schwab Dunn
Pop Culture and Entertainment Reporter
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The upcoming exhibition bout between Jake Paul and Mike Tyson has fans buzzing with excitement and speculation.
Scheduled for November 15 at the AT&T Stadium in Texas, the match pits 27-year-old Paul, a YouTuber-turned-boxer, against Tyson, the 58-year-old former heavyweight champion widely regarded as one of boxing's all-time greats. With global streaming on Netflix, the fight is poised to attract millions of viewers and a significant volume of bets.
Opinions on the match vary widely, with some experts calling it a "competitive fight" and others criticizing it as a spectacle that reflects poorly on boxing. In a dramatic pre-fight weigh-in, tensions boiled over when Tyson slapped Paul after the latter's theatrics, which included crawling on the floor before rising to meet Tyson eye-to-eye. Their entourages quickly intervened to prevent further escalation, adding an extra layer of drama to an already hyped event.
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Newsweek has looked into the odds and compiled predictions from boxing experts, also emailing spokespeople for Tyson and Paul for comment on Friday.
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Betting Odds
At the time of writing, betting odds show Jake Paul as the clear favorite, with sportsbooks like Bet365 offering odds of 1/2, and William Hill listing him at 8/15, giving him a 66%-70% implied chance of victory. This confidence stems from Paul's active boxing career and his recent win over Mike Perry, bringing his professional record to 10-1. Meanwhile, Tyson, though a legendary name in the sport, enters as the underdog. Odds for Tyson range from 41/17 (VBet) to 15/8 (William Hill), suggesting a 30%-35% chance of winning. A draw is the least likely outcome, with odds listed at 12/1 by many sportsbooks.
Paul's youth and conditioning give him a significant advantage, particularly in endurance and agility. However, Tyson's storied career, which boasts a 50-6-2 record with 44 knockouts, can't be overlooked. Even at 58, Tyson's power and boxing IQ make him a formidable opponent. The fight's exhibition rules—eight two-minute rounds with 14oz gloves—add an additional layer of unpredictability, making it a compelling matchup for bettors.
Predictions
A variety of boxers and experts have shared their thoughts and predictions.
Tyson Fury — Professional Boxer
"Listen, if Mike Tyson hits anybody, I don't care if he's 90, he's gonna knock them out cold, isn't he? Obviously, I have to back Mike Tyson. I'm named after the legend, and I'll back him. As he always backs me, I'm backing Mike for the knockout. Come on, Mike!" Fury said when speaking to The Stomping Ground earlier this year.
Manny Pacquiao — Professional Boxer
"I don't think so," Pacquiao said when Fight HUB TV asked if Paul could beat Tyson, per MARCA.
Anthony Joshua — Professional Boxer
"[Mike Tyson] is older now... I pray that he comes out healthy. I think Jake Paul [wins] because of youth. That's the only thing," he said while on an episode of the Jonathan Ross Show.
Roy Jones Jr. — Professional Boxer
"I believe in Mike, likely via decision. But if he wants to finish it, he can. Yet, if he's just looking to enjoy the fight, he might take it slow and have some fun... I'm not worried about Mike and his age. Mike is still hard to hit, and he hits like a truck," he told MMA NYTT.
Andre Ward — Former Professional Boxer
When asked by TMZ who he thought was going to win, Ward said he had "no idea."
"You just don't know what to make of it. If it's the average 58-year-old, you kind of, sort of know how this thing is going to go," Ward said. "But we're talking about Mike Tyson. If there's a 58-year-old that I'm not worried about, it's him."
Ward also said Paul is a fighter who is "slowly getting better."
Logan Paul — YouTuber and Jake Paul's Brother
"My brother got slapped by Mike Tyson, f****** iconic... but a grave error. This fight just became personal for Jake," his brother wrote on X, formerly Twitter.
"Tomorrow's outcome will be utter devastation for Mike; the new face of boxing will be crowned tomorrow."
KSI — Influencer and Professional Boxer
"Jake Paul will knock out Mike Tyson. This will not be close at all. Boxing is a young man's game and Mike is 58 years old. They're sending a lamb to the slaughter and it's disgusting," he posted on X.
Lennox Lewis — Former Professional Boxer
"Mike Tyson's gonna win. He's not that old. Don't take him too softly. We're one year apart. You can fight somebody like that and do well because the person you're fighting is not a true fighter, and there's a hundred things that you've forgotten that he's learning," Lewis said during an episode of The Pulse on FOX 29 Philadelphia.
Nate Diaz — Mixed Martial Artist
"I'm with Mike all the way. Mike is the man, you already know. Jake is young and explosive with nothing to lose in every fight. That's what I think he has going for him. Everything is going to switch. He's the guy that's supposed to win. I think that will be a little different," Diaz said during an appearance on All the Smoke.
Conor McGregor — Mixed Martial Artist and Professional Boxer
"Don't give a b******s. They're wearing 14-oz gloves. It's two-minute rounds, is it? It's two-minute rounds? Who gives a b*******," he said, according to The Sun.
"I hope he [Tyson] rattles that little dope [Paul]. No one gives a f*** about him. How is that even in the f****** Dallas Stadium? What's going on?"
Teddy Atlas — Analyst and Boxing Coach
"The first couple of minutes could be a little risky for Paul against a guy who was the youngest heavyweight champ and a guy with one of the greatest combinations of speed and power in the history of the heavyweight division," the boxing coach told Seconds Out.
"For one or two rounds could it be a little hairy? Yeah. If he don't catch him... then the gas tank starts to putter... then the young man will have the advantage. Even a young man who's far less accomplished in the game... It's not like he doesn't know how to put his knuckles on your face. The question is how much does he have left in his body? 58 [years old] is not the same 58 when I was 21. It's a different 58, especially if they are not testing him."
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