Trump Speaks Republican Convention

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Darragh Roche

By Darragh Roche

US News Reporter

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Donald Trump suffered a double polling blow as two new surveys suggest that Vice President Kamala Harris can defeat the former president in November.

A new Reuters/Ipsos poll has found Harris with a two-point lead nationally, though other recent polling shows Trump leading or tied.

Separately, a poll conducted in Georgia by Landmark Communications found that Trump's lead over Harris is within the margin of error in the state that President Joe Biden won in 2020.

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Trump Speaks Republican Convention

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However, it is difficult to see a clear picture of the campaign following Biden's decision to exit the race as recent polling has been mixed and could point to a very close race.

The Reuters/Ipsos poll found Harris leading with 44 percent support to Trump's 42 percent in a straight-up race. However, her lead is within the poll's margin of error of plus or minus 3 percent.

The vice president also led with 42 percent to Trump's 38 percent when independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. was included. Kennedy polled 8 percent.

The survey was conducted among 1,018 registered voters from July 22 to 23.

A Landmark Communications conducted among 400 likely voters in Georgia on July 22 found that Trump leads Harris by very narrow margins in a state that has not traditionally been considered a swing state.

Trump enjoyed 48 percent support to Harris' 46.7 percent in a straight-up race, while 5.3 percent were undecided. He also led with 45.8 percent to the vice president's 44.3 percent when other candidates were included.

The former president's lead over Harris was within the survey's margin of error of plus or minus 5 percent.

Newsweek reached out to the Trump campaign via email for comment.

The Trump campaign has previously pointed Newsweek to recent swing-state polling conducted by Public Policy Polling (PPP) from July 17 to 20 that showed him ahead of Harris in Arizona, Michigan, North Carolina and Pennsylvania.

Trump led with 46 percent to Harris' 41 in Michigan, 45 percent to 43 percent in Pennsylvania, 46 percent to 40 percent in Arizona, and 48 percent to 44 percent in North Carolina in a race that included third-party candidates.

PPP surveyed 736 Arizona registered voters and 573 North Carolina registered voters from July 19 to 20 and 650 Michigan registered voters and 624 Pennsylvania registered voters from July 17 to 18.

Other recent polling suggests a tight contest nationally, with a YouGov poll conducted from July 19 to 22 showing Trump leading Harris among registered voters in a race with third-party candidates included.

Trump had 43 percent support to Harris' 41 percent, while in a head-to-head matchup, they were tied at 46 percent. The poll surveyed 1,178 registered voters.

A separate NPR/PBS News/Marist National Poll found Trump leading with 46 percent to Harris' 45 percent in a straight-up race. A further 9 percent were undecided among the 1,17 registered voters surveyed.

In a race that included third-party candidates, Harris and Trump were tied at 42 percent.

The poll was conducted on July 22 and had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percent.

A poll conducted by Morning Consult among 4,001 registered voters from July 21 to 22 showed Trump with a 2-point lead in a straight-up race. He had 47 percent support compared to 45 percent for Harris. The poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percent.

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