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By Joe Edwards
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A post by a former congressional staffer and geopolitical analyst warned of a “final humiliation” for President Donald Trump, predicting that Democrats would impeach and remove him as prediction markets show elevated chances of impeachment.
Why It Matters
Brandon Weichert’s social media post surfaced as prediction markets have recently moved toward a greater chance of impeachment, even with Republicans holding majorities in both chambers of Congress, according to past Newsweek analysis of Polymarket and Kalshi data.
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Trump has said Democrats would impeach him if they regain the House in this year's midterms.
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What To Know
“The final humiliation,” Weichert said on X, responding to a clip of Trump vowing, “From now until November, we're going to fight … We're going to go to win in midterms. We're going to have even bigger majorities in the House and the Senate than we have today.”
Weichert continued: “They've taken one of the top three greatest campaigners of my life [Trump, Bill Clinton, and Obama], in this case Trump, they've converted him into George W. Trump, alienated at least half of his base—ensuring the GOP will lose—and now they're going to trot him around the country so that they can say that he was so unpopular from his awful decisions in the war that not even his presence on the campaign trail could save the GOP.
“It's final humiliation by the Elite. Then the Dems impeach him. And he will be removed from office this time.”
In an email to Newsweek, Weichert clarified that "they" referred to the "GOP Establishment (GOP-E) and obviously the Dems."
"Trump's entire administration is overrun with GOP-E, Bush-era types (whom the president successfully ran against and defeated way back in 2016). These Establishment types...have stage-managed Trump into an unwinnable, unpopular war that is dividing the very heart of his core support.
"As for impeachment, I think at this rate the defeat of the GOP is going to be so bad in November that the Democrats are obviously going to be in the majority in both houses, that they will naturally impeach..."
As of Thursday, Polymarket gives a 62 percent chance of Trump being impeached before his term ends. Kalshi shows a 67.1 percent chance of the president being impeached during his second term.
Punchbowl News reported that House Democrats are downplaying talk of impeachment, even as they are favored to win back the House. Party leaders, moderates and many progressives argue that a third impeachment would be politically risky, distract from bread‑and‑butter issues like the economy, and be doomed in the Senate, where conviction is unlikely.
Newsweek contacted a White House spokesperson for comment via email on Thursday.
What People Are Saying
Brett Loyd of the Independent Center previously told Newsweek: “Presidential approval remains a functional barometer for tracking the momentum of an administration’s start and finish, but its day‑to‑day utility has diminished."
White House spokesperson Davis Ingle previously told Newsweek: “What matters most to the American people is having a commander‑in‑chief who takes decisive action to eliminate threats and keep them safe, which is exactly what President Trump is doing with the ongoing successful Operation Epic Fury."
Update 3/26/26, 1:56 p.m. ET: This article was updated with remarks from Brandon Weichert.
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