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By Mandy Taheri
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Donald Trump could make history as only the second U.S. president to serve nonconsecutive terms if he wins the 2024 presidential election, a feat that was last accomplished 132 years ago.
Trump is the first defeated president to run for office again since the late 19th century. While President Theodore Roosevelt ran for a third term in 1912, he was not previously defeated and didn't secure a major party nomination.
Only one person has served two non-consecutive terms in the White House: Grover Cleveland. The Democrat was first elected president in 1884. He was defeated in his re-election bid in 1888 by Republican Benjamin Harrison despite winning the popular vote on both occasions.
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To win the presidency, a candidate must secure 270 Electoral College votes, which doesn't always align with the national popular vote, as was more recently the case in 2016, when former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton lost to Trump in 2016.
Four years after his unsuccessful run, Cleveland was the Democratic presidential nominee again and went on to win the 1892 election against Harrison, the only American president to do so. Cleveland was both the 22nd and 24th U.S. president.
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Newsweek reached out to Trump's campaign for comment via email.
Trump, the Republican presidential nominee for a third time—first in 2016, then in 2020 and now in 2024—is in an extraordinarily tight race for the White House against Vice President Kamala Harris.
Most national aggregate polls show Harris leading in the popular vote, with margins narrowing daily. As of Friday, The Hill shows Harris up by 0.3 percentage points, The New York Times aggregate has her up by 1 point, and 538 finds her ahead by 1.2 points. RealClearPolling shows Trump ahead by 0.3 percentage points.
Several forecasters project that Trump will win the election.
As of Friday afternoon, 538's forecast gave Trump a 52 percent chance of winning to Harris' 48 percent. Pollster Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin projects an even wider margin, with Trump at a 53.8 percent probability of winning to Harris' 45.8 percent.
The Hill's forecast says there's a 54 percent chance of Trump winning the presidency.
In 2020, Trump, the incumbent, lost the presidential election to President Joe Biden. The Democratic nominee secured and flipped several key battleground states, including Arizona, Georgia and Pennsylvania.
The 2024 election will largely be similarly determined by several thousand votes in crucial battleground states, with the two major party candidates especially vying for Pennsylvania, the battleground state with the most Electoral College votes, 19.
Polls have been very tight in the seven key battleground states. As of Friday afternoon, The New York Times aggregate poll showed Trump edging ahead in Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, Nevada and Pennsylvania, while Harris was ahead in Wisconsin and Michigan.
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