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By Kaitlin Lewis
Night Reporter
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Former President Donald Trump has taken his biggest lead over President Joe Biden in the 2024 presidential campaign cycle, according to a new poll, as Thursday marks the second consecutive day of record survey totals for Trump.
In a recent survey released by CBS News and YouGov, 52 percent of registered voters said they would choose Trump if the election were held today. Biden was supported by 47 percent of the 2,247 voters surveyed, while 1 percent of respondents said they "would not vote" if Trump and Biden appeared on the ballot. The poll was conducted from July 16 to July 18.
Thursday's results are a slight jump from a CBS News/YouGov poll taken in the days following the first presidential debate, where Biden's performance ignited concerns over the president's ability to defeat Trump and serve another four years in the White House. From June 28 to July 2, 50 percent of voters said they would vote for Trump if the election were held today, while Biden was backed by 48 percent.
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When asked the same question from June 5 to June 7, 50 percent of voters said they would back Trump, while 49 percent chose Biden.
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The polling boost comes a day after Trump broke his record in an Economist/YouGov poll, where nearly half (49 percent) of U.S. adults said they believe Trump will win in November regardless of whom they would support in the election.
Polling analysis site FiveThirtyEight also gave Trump his largest lead on average across national polls on Thursday. The former president was up 3 percentage points on Biden—a 1 percent jump from the day before and 2.8 percent jump since the June 27 presidential debate.
Newsweek reached out to Trump and Biden's campaigns via email for comment Thursday evening.
Voters were also asked in the CBS News/YouGov poll released Thursday how they would vote if the election were held between Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris, considered the likely replacement for Biden if the president steps aside as the Democratic nominee. Harris fared a bit better than Biden, although she still lost to Trump, 48 percent to 51 percent.
Out of the voters who indicated that they plan to support or are leaning toward Biden in the fall, half said they would choose the president "mainly to oppose" Trump in November. Twenty-seven percent of Biden's voters said they were choosing him because they "like" the president, while 23 percent said they were voting for him because he "will be the Democratic nominee."
When asked similar questions, 58 percent of the voters who indicated that they would vote for Trump or are leaning toward backing the former president said they were doing so because they "like" him. Twenty-seven percent said they would back Trump "mainly to oppose" Biden, while 15 percent said they would vote for Trump because he "will be the Republican nominee."
The Republican National Convention formally nominated Trump as the GOP presidential choice for 2024 on Monday. The Democratic National Convention will begin August 15, although leaders plan to hold a virtual roll call to accelerate choosing Biden as the party nominee before the convention.
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