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Martha McHardy

By Martha McHardy

US News Reporter

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Kamala Harris is set to address the nation at 4:00 p.m. Wednesday after losing the election to Donald Trump, Newsweek has learned.

Harris, who has not conceded the election, was expected to host her election night party at Howard University in Washington, D.C., a historically Black college where she was an undergraduate. Instead, her planned speech was scrapped as campaign co-chair Cedric Redmond told crowds "we still have votes to count."

"We still have states that have not been called yet. We will continue, overnight, to fight to make sure that every vote is counted, that every voice has spoken," Kamala Harris's campaign co-chair Cedric Richmond said. "So you won't hear from the vice president tonight, but you will hear from her tomorrow."

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It comes after The Associated Press declared the crucial swing states of North Carolina, Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin for Donald Trump. Trump currently has 277 Electoral College votes to Harris' 224.

Victories for Trump in the swing states mean he has surpassed the threshold of the 270 Electoral College votes needed to win the election. However, Harris could still win more votes, with Nevada, Michigan and Arizona still undeclared.

But that looks unlikely, with Trump currently polling ahead of Harris in all three of the undeclared swing states, according to CNN, on 52 percent in Arizona, 51 percent in Nevada, and 50 percent in Michigan. Trump won 51 percent of the vote in North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Georgia, and 50 percent in Wisconsin.

Harris

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Amid his victory, the former president took to the stage in West Palm Beach, Florida, on Wednesday morning to address his supporters.

"This is a magnificent victory for the American people, that will allow us to make America great again," he said. "America has given us an unprecedented and powerful mandate."

"It's a political victory that our country is never seen before, nothing like this," he added. "I want to thank the American people for the extraordinary honor of being elected your 47th president and your 45th president."

Meanwhile, exit polls suggest that Trump could be on track to win the popular vote, with the former president currently on 51 percent of the vote to Harris' 47 percent, according to CNN.

That would mark be the opposite of what polls had suggested would happen in this election, with forecaster Nate Silver estimating Harris' chances of winning the popular vote at over 70 percent. However, projections for the Electoral College were less consistent, with Harris holding a slight advantage through August and September before her odds dropped sharply in early October as Trump gained ground in key battleground states.

From that point, the race tightened significantly, with Trump showing a slight lead in North Carolina, Arizona, Georgia, and Pennsylvania, while Harris maintained narrow leads in Nevada, Michigan, and Wisconsin.

Since 1998, election polls in U.S. presidential, House, Senate, and governor races have typically missed the final vote margin by about 6 points on average, according to FiveThirtyEight's analysis.

For example, in 2020, polls showed President Joe Biden with a strong lead over then President Trump. Just before the election, Biden led by 8.4 points in FiveThirtyEight's average. He ultimately won the popular vote by less than 4.5 points—just enough for an Electoral College victory.

Similarly, in 2016, FiveThirtyEight gave Hillary Clinton a 71 percent chance of winning, but she ultimately lost the Electoral College despite winning the popular vote.

Scott Keeter, senior fellow at the Pew Research Center, previously told Newsweek that polls in 2020 and 2016 were inaccurate because Trump supporters opt out of surveys due to distrust in institutions like the mainstream media and polling organizations.

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