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By Joe Edwards
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Recent polling has shown that the gap between President Biden and former President Donald Trump is narrowing in most of America's swing states.
Since March 30, Trump's lead over the incumbent Biden has slipped in six out of seven of the key battlegrounds that will likely decide the election in November. Nationally, the two men are polling neck and neck, according to an average of polls by racetothewh.com.
The analysis by Race to the WH showed that Biden is now ahead in Wisconsin, and made modest gains in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, and North Carolina. He won all but the latter in 2020, and the Tar Heel State was Trump's narrowest margin of victory that year.
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In Pennsylvania, another crucial must-win for both candidates, Trump's lead has remained the same: +0.5.
The state Biden made the most progress in was Nevada, with the Democrat gaining 1.5 percentage points against Trump, halving his rival's lead from the end of March.
In calculating its polling average, racetothewh.com says that its model gives more weight to surveys that include large samples, were released recently and by pollsters that have a strong track record of accuracy. The model corrects for historic partisan bias and gives less weight to polls published by campaigns.
Trump's sliding poll numbers come as his hush money trial picks up steam in New York.
He is the first former U.S. president to face a criminal trial. He has pleaded not guilty to 34 felony charges of falsifying business records in relation to so-called "hush money" he arranged for his former lawyer Michael Cohen to pay adult film star Stormy Daniels ahead of the 2016 election to keep secret an alleged affair she and Trump had. Trump has said the case is the result of a "witch hunt" by political opponents.
Cohen took to the witness stand on Monday, after some revealing testimony from Daniels last week.
The trial, along with Trump's other legal entanglements, could play a major factor in determining who wins the 2024 election. Polls have frequently shown voters could be put off from backing Trump if he is found guilty of a crime before the November election.
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Biden, meanwhile, has faced criticism for his handling of the conflict between Israel and Hamas, and continues to score lower than Trump on managing the economy.
A recent poll aggregation by FiveThirtyEight found Biden to be the least popular president in 75 years.
Newsweek has contacted both the Biden and Trump campaigns for comment.
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