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By Rachel Dobkin
Weekend Reporter
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Former President Donald Trump is gaining on Vice President Kamala Harris in two key swing states, according to a new survey whose pollster is ranked the most accurate.
With less than six weeks until the presidential election, the candidates' ability to sway voters is getting down to the wire. Harris, the Democratic nominee, has done well in Michigan and Wisconsin, two states key to an electoral victory, however, the races are tightening.
According to the latest New York Times/Siena College polls, Harris has 48 percent of voter support in Michigan where Trump is slightly behind with 47 percent, which is well within the poll's margin of error.
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In Wisconsin, Harris is leading Trump by just 2 points (49 to 47 percent). However, Wisconsin polling has historically overstated support for Democrats.
The Times/Siena polls were conducted from September 21 to 26 and surveyed 688 likely voters in Michigan and 680 likely voters in Wisconsin. Each poll has a margin of error of about plus or minus 4 percentage points.
Newsweek has reached out to Harris and Trump's campaigns via email for comment on Saturday morning.
Poll aggregator FiveThirtyEight ranks the Times/Siena polls as number one for its accuracy, ability to be unbiased and transparency.
FiveThirtyEight currently has Harris leading Trump by 2.7 points (48.6 to 45.9 percent) in Michigan, according to its polling averages, which looks at how the nominees are doing in multiple polls.
In Wisconsin, Harris is ahead of Trump by 2.1 points (48.8 to 46.7 percent), according to FiveThirtyEight's polling averages.
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How Are the Candidates Doing Nationally?
On the national scale, Harris is again ahead of Trump, leading the former president 48.6 to 45.7 percent, a difference of 2.9 points.
While national polls are good to gauge what the overall American public thinks of each candidate and therefore what the popular vote might be, candidates don't win the presidency by popular vote. A candidate must win 270 or more electoral votes, which are spread out by state according to the number of representatives and senators it has, to become president in what is known as the Electoral College system.
How Are the Candidates Doing in Other Swing States?
Trump leads Harris in Georgia by 0.9 points (48.3 to 47.4 percent) and in North Carolina by 0.4 points (47.8 to 47.4 percent), according to FiveThirtyEight's polling averages. He is also ahead of the vice president in Arizona by 1.3 points (48 to 46.7 percent).
Harris is ahead of Trump in Nevada by 1 point (47.8 to 46.8 percent) and Pennsylvania by 1.3 points (48.2 to 46.9 percent).
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