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By Darragh Roche
US News Reporter
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Former President Donald Trump's lead over President Joe Biden in Florida is narrow and the Republican could be at risk of losing the Sunshine State, according to recent polls.
Trump won Florida in both 2016 and 2020 as what was once a key battleground state has become more solidly Republican in recent election cycles but two major polls this month have shown Biden just four points behind the former president in a straight race.
While polling in 2024 has consistently shown Trump ahead in Florida, a new survey released on Wednesday by Florida Atlantic University (FAU) and Mainstreet Research shows that his lead over Biden has declined in the last two months.
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The FAU poll found that Trump has a four-point lead over Biden—46 percent to the president's 42 percent—in a head-to-head matchup. That's a decline on the findings of the of the same poll in April, which showed Trump with 50 percent to Biden's 42 percent.
That poll was conducted on June 8 and June 9 among 883 registered voters in Florida.
Trump won Florida in 2020 with 51.2 percent of the vote, compared to 47.9 percent for Biden.
Dukhong Kim, an associate professor of political science at FAU, said in a statement that the new poll results "suggest Biden has made modest gains and kept the race competitive in the nation's largest swing state."
In a statement responding to FAU poll issued to Newsweek on Wednesday, Trump campaign spokesperson Steven Cheung said: "President Trump continues to dominate Crooked Joe Biden both nationally and in battleground states."
When independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. was included in the survey, Trump was at 43 percent, Biden at 37 percent and Kennedy at 10 percent.
A separate Fox News poll conducted among 1,075 registered Florida voters from June 1 and 4 by Shaw & Company Research also showed Trump with a lead of four points in a two-man race.
When other candidates were included, Trump enjoyed a more substantial lead of 47 percent, with Biden at 40 percent and Kennedy with 7 percent. The left-wing People's Party candidate Cornel West had 2 percent support, followed by Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 1 percent.
Polls still suggest that Trump enjoys a significant lead over Biden in Florida, with a Tyson Group poll showing the former president at 46 percent and Biden with 36 percent.
That poll was conducted among 1,050 likely voters from June 6 to 9.
Poll tracker FiveThirtyEight's analysis of Florida polls also shows Trump with a significant lead over Biden. According to its polling average, Trump was at 45.3 percent in Florida as on Thursday, with Biden at 36.6 percent and Kennedy at 7.8 percent.
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